Projections of Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Australia’s Transport Sector
DISER’s report and accompanying methodology report summarises the key assumptions and outputs of Energeia’s emissions modelling for the transport sector, including the following:
- Projected trend in transport emissions to 2030 by transport mode and vehicle type
- The assumptions used to assess the impact of COVID-19 on travel activity by transport mode and transport usage type
- A snapshot of the projected light duty vehicle activity and electric vehicle stock and sales
- Projected emissions intensity of new light duty vehicles for internal combustion engines and battery electric vehicles (excluding plug-in hybrids)
- An overview of Energeia’s modelling approach and methodology for activity projections, COVID-19 impact on transport activity, and vehicle fleet technology projections
DISER’s report and accompanying methodology report can be found here and here respectively.
For more information regarding Energeia’s transportation modelling or forecasting services, please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
Accelerating Electric Vehicle Adoption without Breaking the Bank: Reading the Signs
This report provides Energeia’s key insights from three recent electric vehicle consulting projects for clients in the US and Australia, and covers the following key topics:
- – Electric vehicle market uptake drivers and barriers
– Charging impacts on electricity network and generation infrastructure
– Infrastructure and business positioning strategy.
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Energeia prepared the inaugural AEMO Insights Report into electric vehicles as part of AEMO’s 2016 National Energy Forecast Report, which provides a view of how EV technology may develop in Australia, and what this could mean for electricity consumption and demand.
Much of today’s electricity distribution system was built in the 1950s and 1960s, and is rapidly approaching its end-of-life as equipment becomes more expensive to maintain, less reliable and safety risks increase. At the same time demand is flattening, especially in areas where there is large investments by customers in solar PV. As a result, asset replacement is becoming the largest investment driver by far with Australia’s distribution network service providers expect to invest $50 billion over the 2014-2020 period, and an additional $80 billion over the 2020-2030 period.
In recent years, networks have been increasingly looking to distributed energy resources (DER) to effectively defer peak demand. In this research paper, Energeia suggests that there is even greater potential for networks to harness DER-integrated or hybrid asset solutions for asset replacements as well as new assets. Energeia’s analysis identifies the potential for DER-integrated or hybrid asset solutions for a range of use cases including investment deferral, network replacement and new assets in both environments of increasing and declining demand as an alternative to current least cost network solutions and identifies potential savings to consumers of $1 billion to 2020 and in the order of $8 billion dollars over the next ten years, or 15-30% of the associated investment costs. To read the full analysis note click here.